Aarau vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 1
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
YVE
2 - 1
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 4
DEL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 3
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
WIL
5 - 3
STA
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SOL
1 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |