Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
STG
5 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 1
BAS
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 6
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2015 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
STG
2 - 1
THU
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
THU
2 - 2
ZUR
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
THU
4 - 0
FCV
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |