Aarau vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCA
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
7 - 2
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
YVE
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 4
THU
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
YVE
2 - 0
THU
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
THU
3 - 0
MFF
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |