Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
KRI
0 - 1
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SER
4 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DEL
3 - 3
FCA
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FCA
5 - 3
BIE
39%
26%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WOH
1 - 2
STA
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 1
STA
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
SER
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 0
STA
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
STA
2 - 0
KRI
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |