Aarau vs St. Gallen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
BIE
5 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
STG
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
YOB
0 - 0
STG
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BIE
0 - 3
STG
27%
22%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
STG
0 - 3
SIO
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |