Aarau vs Sion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
7º
6º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STA
4 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
THU
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SIO
3 - 3
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
SIO
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FCO
1 - 6
SIO
2%
7%
91%
|
72 | 11 | 61 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 4
SIO
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |