Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCV
4 - 1
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 1
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 3
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
GCZ
3 - 3
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
FCA
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
WIN
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 0
SER
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
RAP
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
FCV
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 2
SER
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |