Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
5 - 1
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LEM
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 2
FCA
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
WOH
0 - 2
SER
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
LEM
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
3 - 2
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 4
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |