Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
KRI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 3
FCA
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SER
4 - 1
LOC
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BAU
2 - 5
SER
16%
20%
65%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DEL
0 - 3
SER
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SER
1 - 2
LAU
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
FCW
0 - 2
SER
18%
21%
62%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |