Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2004 |
SER
2 - 2
GCZ
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
STG
2 - 0
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SER
2 - 3
ZUR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |