Aarau vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
24%
22%
54%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCA
37%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
FCA
4 - 2
FCL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SER
5 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
ZUR
5 - 2
SER
35%
25%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SER
0 - 4
BAS
41%
25%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |