Aarau vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCA
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 2
WOH
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SER
4 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCA
4 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 0
FCA
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
WOH
1 - 2
RAP
23%
25%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
RAP
3 - 1
SCH
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 2
FCV
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
RAP
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |