Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
46%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
4 - 2
SIO
29%
24%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
KRI
0 - 0
FCA
33%
23%
44%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 2
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NEX
3 - 1
WIN
24%
24%
51%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 3
THU
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEX
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
NEX
2 - 0
CHI
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
KRI
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |