Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCA
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ZUR
6 - 3
FCA
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
31%
24%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
FCA
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NEX
3 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 4
NEX
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NEX
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NEX
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
NEX
1 - 4
WOH
76%
15%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -2 |