Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
LEM
1 - 0
FCA
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
NEX
4 - 1
WIN
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
NEX
2 - 2
LEM
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEX
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NEX
1 - 0
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 4
NEX
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |