Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 3
YOB
19%
23%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
NEX
1 - 3
SIO
51%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
STG
1 - 1
NEX
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 0
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 1
NEX
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |