Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 1
FCA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SIO
0 - 0
NEX
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 0
NEX
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NEX
2 - 0
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CON
4 - 0
NEX
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -2 |