Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BIN
2 - 6
FCA
13%
21%
65%
|
76 | 25 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 0
FCL
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LAU
1 - 2
NEX
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NEX
3 - 3
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SAX
0 - 2
NEX
10%
18%
71%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |