Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
ZUR
4 - 1
NEX
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
1 - 0
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
NEX
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
NEX
2 - 2
STG
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GCZ
2 - 2
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |