Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
STG
3 - 3
FCA
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
FCA
2 - 1
SCH
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BAU
0 - 2
FCA
7%
14%
80%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
YOB
2 - 1
NEX
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
NEX
0 - 2
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 2
NEX
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
NEX
0 - 2
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
NEX
2 - 0
GCZ
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |