Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
5 - 3
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
2 - 2
BAS
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 1
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 0
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
NEX
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
CON
2 - 3
NEX
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |