Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 2
BIF
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
BIF
5 - 0
FCA
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
NEX
1 - 3
SIO
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
LUG
1 - 2
NEX
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
NEX
2 - 1
DYN
47%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
NEX
3 - 3
BAS
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |