Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
65%
19%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCW
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1989 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
SER
1 - 2
NEX
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1989 |
NEX
4 - 2
LUG
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1989 |
SIO
2 - 4
NEX
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 1989 |
NEX
2 - 1
YOB
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |