Aarau vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1986 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 3
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
FCA
3 - 1
VEV
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BAD
0 - 1
FCA
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1986 |
VEV
2 - 2
NEX
16%
24%
60%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
NEX
1 - 4
YOB
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1986 |
GCZ
2 - 3
NEX
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCG
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1986 |
NEX
2 - 1
SIO
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |