Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
2 - 1
GCZ
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 3
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
WIL
7 - 0
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 1
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FCL
3 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 0
LAU
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STG
0 - 0
FCL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |