Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
5 - 1
FCA
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 2
LEM
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
WOH
1 - 2
FCA
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 2
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCL
4 - 1
YOB
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LAU
4 - 4
FCL
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FCL
5 - 2
KRI
74%
16%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |