Aarau vs Luzern analysis

Aarau Luzern
69 ELO 79
12% Tilt 15.6%
761º General ELO ranking 278º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.9%
Aarau
23.8%
Draw
50.3%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
Aarau
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.3%
Win probability
Luzern
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-4%
Luzern

ELO progression

Aarau
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2015
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
75%
16%
9%
70 82 12 0
25 Apr. 2015
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
69 80 11 +1
19 Apr. 2015
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 2
Aarau
FCA
55%
24%
22%
68 74 6 +1
12 Apr. 2015
FCA
Aarau
0 - 1
Sion
SIO
37%
28%
36%
69 78 9 -1
04 Apr. 2015
BAS
Basel
6 - 0
Aarau
FCA
69%
20%
11%
70 84 14 -1

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2015
FCL
Luzern
6 - 2
St. Gallen
STG
40%
26%
34%
79 76 3 0
26 Apr. 2015
BAS
Basel
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
58%
22%
20%
78 85 7 +1
19 Apr. 2015
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Grasshopper
GCZ
32%
26%
42%
77 80 3 +1
11 Apr. 2015
THU
Thun
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
50%
24%
27%
78 81 3 -1
04 Apr. 2015
ZUR
Zurich
0 - 1
Luzern
FCL
46%
25%
29%
77 81 4 +1