Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 0
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
SIO
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
FCL
6 - 2
STG
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 0
GCZ
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
FCL
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |