Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
24%
49%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 2
FCA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GCZ
3 - 2
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 3
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +3 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCV
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |