Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
STG
4 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 1
YOB
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
50%
24%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCL
17%
23%
60%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |