Aarau vs Luzern analysis

Aarau Luzern
72 ELO 79
14.7% Tilt 19.4%
761º General ELO ranking 278º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.2%
Aarau
24.7%
Draw
40.1%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Aarau
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.1%
Win probability
Luzern
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-4%
Luzern

ELO progression

Aarau
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2014
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Aarau
FCA
51%
24%
25%
73 78 5 0
05 Apr. 2014
STG
St. Gallen
4 - 1
Aarau
FCA
49%
25%
26%
74 78 4 -1
29 Mar. 2014
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
32%
24%
44%
73 80 7 +1
22 Mar. 2014
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Sion
SIO
49%
25%
27%
72 74 2 +1
16 Mar. 2014
BAS
Basel
5 - 0
Aarau
FCA
64%
21%
15%
73 85 12 -1

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2014
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
40%
26%
34%
79 79 0 0
06 Apr. 2014
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
50%
24%
27%
79 79 0 0
30 Mar. 2014
FCL
Luzern
0 - 2
Basel
BAS
28%
25%
47%
79 85 6 0
26 Mar. 2014
BAS
Basel
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
58%
22%
20%
80 85 5 -1
23 Mar. 2014
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
17%
23%
60%
80 64 16 0