Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 4
NEX
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ZUR
4 - 0
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |