Aarau vs Luzern analysis

Aarau Luzern
76 ELO 71
1.7% Tilt -11.5%
760º General ELO ranking 279º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.2%
Aarau
24%
Draw
20.8%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
Aarau
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.8%
Win probability
Luzern
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aarau
+8%
-4%
Luzern

ELO progression

Aarau
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2008
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 1
Aarau
FCA
47%
26%
27%
76 70 6 0
02 Aug. 2008
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
0 - 0
Aarau
FCA
52%
25%
23%
76 75 1 0
27 Jul. 2008
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
75 82 7 +1
24 Jul. 2008
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 2
Aarau
FCA
44%
26%
30%
75 65 10 0
19 Jul. 2008
FCA
Aarau
3 - 1
Sion
SIO
43%
26%
31%
74 77 3 +1

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2008
BEL
AC Bellinzona
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
50%
25%
26%
71 70 1 0
26 Jul. 2008
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
44%
27%
29%
72 75 3 -1
23 Jul. 2008
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Luzern
FCL
64%
21%
15%
72 82 10 0
20 Jul. 2008
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
60%
23%
18%
73 65 8 -1
10 May. 2008
FCL
Luzern
0 - 2
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
47%
26%
27%
73 74 1 0