Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
FCV
0 - 2
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 1
SIO
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 2
FCL
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 1
NEX
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCV
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 2
NEX
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |