Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
YOB
4 - 0
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
FCL
4 - 0
THU
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
YOB
0 - 1
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |