Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 7
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 3
ZUR
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 2
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 3
GCZ
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
6 - 1
FCL
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 1
KRI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FCL
3 - 2
BAD
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 0
BUL
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
WOH
2 - 3
FCL
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |