Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
STG
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
FCA
0 - 3
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
FCA
4 - 3
YVE
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
GCZ
6 - 0
FCA
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 5
STG
27%
25%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 0
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
FCL
3 - 1
SIO
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |