Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
LUG
0 - 2
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LAU
2 - 1
FCA
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 3
GCZ
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
FCL
1 - 1
NEX
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
FCL
4 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |