Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
GCZ
5 - 3
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
FCA
4 - 2
LAU
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
ETO
1 - 1
FCA
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
FCA
3 - 1
SER
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
FCL
2 - 2
ZUR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 1
FCL
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |