Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCA
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
FCA
5 - 1
STG
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
LAU
0 - 2
FCA
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1995 |
NEX
3 - 2
FCA
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
LAU
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SIO
1 - 3
FCL
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
FCL
2 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
YOB
0 - 4
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |