Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
FCA
4 - 0
STG
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
FCA
3 - 0
LAU
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
FCL
2 - 1
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1996 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCL
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
FCL
3 - 2
SIO
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SER
1 - 0
FCL
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |