Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 3
FCA
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
FCA
0 - 0
LAU
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
KRI
1 - 0
FCL
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
FCL
2 - 0
YVE
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
YOB
3 - 1
FCL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
41%
29%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |