Aarau vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCA
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
GCZ
1 - 2
FCA
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 3
FCA
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 2
LAU
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
FCL
2 - 2
SIO
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1993 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |