Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
LAU
0 - 3
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 3
ZUR
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
LUG
3 - 1
NEX
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BAS
5 - 1
LUG
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
STG
0 - 1
LUG
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
LUG
2 - 1
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |