Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2000 |
FCA
1 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 1
FCA
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
FCA
5 - 2
DEL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
BAD
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
LAU
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
9%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
SIO
4 - 0
LUG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |