Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 0
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
SER
1 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 2
DEL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 5
GCZ
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LAU
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 2
YVE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |