Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
FCA
2 - 0
OMO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
FCA
4 - 0
NEX
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCA
45%
28%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
OMO
2 - 1
FCA
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
KRI
0 - 3
LUG
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 1
YVE
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
GCZ
2 - 0
LUG
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCL
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |