Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 3
FCA
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
FCA
2 - 1
SIO
33%
29%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
YOB
1 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
LAU
1 - 0
FCA
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1994 |
FCA
0 - 1
LAU
49%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
LUG
0 - 4
YOB
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
FCL
1 - 3
LUG
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
GCZ
3 - 3
LUG
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
LUG
1 - 1
GCZ
33%
29%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |