Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
SER
0 - 2
FCA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
FCA
1 - 1
LAU
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
NEX
5 - 1
FCA
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
SER
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 0
NEX
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 1
ZUR
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1992 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAU
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |