Aarau vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
STG
2 - 1
FCA
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCL
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCA
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 1
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
SIO
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
FCW
0 - 4
LUG
50%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
LUG
0 - 0
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
45%
26%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |