Aarau vs SC Kriens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 3
FCA
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
FCA
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Kriens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 0
KRI
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
KRI
0 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LEM
1 - 5
KRI
26%
22%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WIL
2 - 1
KRI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KRI
1 - 1
STA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |