Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
10º
2º
51
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
STA
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
ETO
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
25%
24%
50%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCV
20%
24%
56%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCV
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FCV
0 - 1
STA
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FCV
3 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |