Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
7º
4º
37
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 3
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 1
FCV
60%
20%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
FCV
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCV
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
NEX
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |